Morning everyone, and you’re not going to get much for Jadoomi, our horse of the day who runs in the 3:05 at Wolverhampton, but you ought to get something back. He doesn’t hold the form ratings necessarily, but this is bare form and you have to look at other ratings such as speed, jockey and trainer in which he rates much better – and there’s significant potential once you look at the races he’s competed in and who he’s competed against.
The second horse of the day would be 6/4 shot Areeha in the 1:45 at Chelmsford. The reason to pick this one ahead of Warren Rose would be the turn-around in the weights since the last time they met. Warren Rose rated 100+ that day while our selection was in the 80s – so both getting excellent form ratings, but a switcharound in the weight they carry often implies a switcharound in the result they produce. Iris Bud is one to watch out for – unraced, but from John Gosden’s yard.
And here’s a sidenote to remember about September – I say it every year – John Gosden’s strike rate goes through the roof. I know 2020 isn’t like every year, so take it with a pinch of salt, but when it comes to September, back John Gosden blind. Almost.
In the 2:45 at Bath, it is quite possible that Rare Glam will fare better on good to firm ground than the slightly slower stuff she faced last time out when sent off an evens favourite and losing quite badly. That race just didn’t pan out, and sometimes you can forgive a horse in the hope that the 2LR will be your yardstick. If so, you’ve got a handy price of around 7/2, maybe more if you wait around on the exchanges, and that’s good for a horse who is most suited with jockey, trainer and stallion ratings in the bag too.
And the same old story in the 4:15, and this is very much a selection for me as I celebrate my 45th birthday watching Everton get thrashed and all of that pre-season hope is beaten out of me within 30 minutes of the new season starting, like every year. Singing The Blues it is, then – a horse that like Rare Glam flopped last time out in an attempt to win a fourth consecutive race, but… and here’s the but… the ground wasn’t suitable last time out and this ground is. A 3 from 6 record at Bath could easily be a 3 from 7 record, but it can’t be ignored. 5/1, perhaps.
Over to you.