Morning all. Apologies to those trying to load certain pages – I’ve got a developer having a look at it, and it’s too complex for my non-developer brain. Please do keep trying to load them, and if you can’t, let me know which ones you can’t load & I’ll see if I can send you the data by spreadsheet.
It’s hard not to start with the 2,000 Guineas in which Chindit is a live contender, and appears on the All-Weather Algorithm (which I’ve extended out to the flat), potentially because of a speed rating of 88, which is almost unheard of. As a 2yo, Pinatubo broke the 90 barrier, and that was impressive enough – but Chindit has raced and won as a 3yo, showing enough over 7 furlongs that the extra distance today in the Guineas won’t be too much trouble. 4 wins already from 5, and goes well on good to firm ground. A price of 16/1 implies a place might be in the offing.
Others that have impressed include One Ruler, now 9/1, and Naval Crown who is 40/1 seemed to have the beating of Master of the Seas at Meydan, for whatever that’s worth. If you’re backing Aiden O’Brien, it’s perhaps too early to back anything Ryan Moore is riding because he’s waiting to see which horses win most before he rides them. That’s mean, but it’s true. So Wembley may be an option, even if he’s already on him, and he does look like he needs more than 7 furlongs.
In the 4:55 at Thirsk, Ingleby Hollow is one who has fared better on the flat than his form suggests, and his last flat win was at Thirsk of 5lb higher. Now, he’s been racing mostly over jumps and he fell last time around, so form isn’t what we’re really looking at here. What’s important is that we know he performs in these conditions, and has performed in stiffer conditions than this, and at a price of 11/2, what you’re really looking for is some decent place money on the exchanges.
At 2:10, Rum Runner comes with a healthy rankscore, a good speed rating, 2nd rated overall and a price of around 17/2, which is interesting. Very interesting, in fact. He’s won a couple of times at this level, and comes with good ratings all-round including a strong jockey rating, which does help. A recent run at Doncaster will have helped loosen the old legs up, and his mark is right where it needs to be.
5:00 at Doncaster, and a horse that describes every single Millenial up and down the country is Triggered. He’s the top form horse in this race, and comes with good ratings all-round even though he’s not the RTH Selection in the end, he’s 2lb below his last winning weight and has a run under his belt already – not a bad one, either hence the form rating. Very interesting at a price of 9/2.
And lastly, a little punt for you in the 3:50 at Thirsk. The Armed Man is a nice price of around 20/1 and has won over C&D before. Having won four times from eleven starts over C&D, he’s had plenty of goes at this, and has proved himself time and time again. It’s his reappearance run, but looking back over the years, he’s not disgraced himself on reappearance with a win and a couple of top-third finishes (I’m being kind here), but at the age of 8 you suspect he may need a couple of races before he’s fully wound up. Either way, he’s on the scene of C&D wins and is 1lb above his last winning weight, so getting there. A punt, but not an uneducated one.
Over to you, and remember – any issues let me know, I’ll send a spreadsheet.