- Venturous – nowhere
- Appier – finally beaten
- Al Simmo – 1st
- Dark Design – nowhere, Lenny’s Spirit – 1st
- Mah Mate Bob – nowhere, Post No Bills – 2nd (placeable)
Morning all. A massive amount of racing on today which generally means be careful. Example – 2:25 at Newcastle where the algorithms are all over Glen Shiel, a C&D winner who is still well-rated on form despite a disappointment or two. Today may or may not be the time for a C&D specialist as you have others who are bouncing into form – or others who may be progressing at the right time. Sense of Duty is third-rated but progressed to form numbers the equal of Glen Shiel while actually winning. So on that basis, the latter may be preferable given that he’s 3 from 4 now and has won both races this season.
There’s an awful lot of racing and frankly, I’m with you if you find it overwhelming, so what I tend to do is just focus on one track when it gets like this. 5:45 at Lingers (yay, Lingers!) and Blue Flame needs to bounce back after a disappointment at Chelmsford, but his excellent AW record and his win at Lingfield imply that he’s got the ability and he has a 3 from 7 win rate over the distance. 8/1, place money, why not, when the others above him have all been punished for their form.
6:15 and Power On looks a likely sort because he’s progressed with a 68 rating on LR and the top-rated has regressed in numbers. He earned that 68 at Yarmouth and he’s won here at Lingfield before. He has a 1 in 3 win rate on the all-weather and with 65% of winners coming from the top three, of our top three here he’s the one with the best progression.
The 7:15 is maybe worth avoiding for win stakes as three horses arrive with excellent claims, not least Income who is the shortest price but also Mick’s Spirit and Nordic Glory. The latter two have won over C&D and while they need to improve again, they’re both capable having some good form in the bag, and it looks like place money is the best option here.
Otherwise, far too much racing, far too many races I’d steer clear of, far too many short-priced horses and far too many big fields. Good day for the garden? 😉