Morning all. So we’ll start with a very curious race, the 4:50 at Wolverhampton where a lot of horses could stand a chance of winning, but not all are in great nick. Critical Thinking is the horse that’s got the most to benefit from – with the same mark as a good C&D 2nd last time out, and an excellent record over C&D anyway, he seems to be bouncing back into form and heading in the right direction. However, for the places, Spring Romance might be of interest – not in the most winningy mood, but a good form rating puts him right into the picture AND he does quite well at Wolverhampton too. His form has bounced right back up and his last time out 3rd is rewarded with no movement in his official rating.
In the 3:20 at Stratford, Bannixtown Glory could be forgiven a recent slip-up in a good event at Kempton because he won previously and seems to be a good-ground type of horse (look at his record on good going on the racecard stats box – 5 wins from 9). Back at this level, and back on this ground, he should be given the opportunity to go well again.
Just as he steps back in class, so does Born Survivor in the 3:50, another horse with an excellent record on good ground (3 from 9) and he’s been having a stab at Class 1 and Class 2 events throughout the winter, without much luck. Not so much Born Survivor as Just About Surviving. Anyway, he’s down to Class 3 today, and the step back along with the ground mean it’s a much easier race than he’s been used to all winter, and it’s high time he provided the goods.
And at 5:20, Wolverhampton, Arabescato can take advantage of the new yard ‘bounce’ that often happens with horses who switch yards, at the price of 3/1. He’s top-rated, most suited (therefore TFS), RTH Selection, with form over 100 and a weight rise that is absolutely manageable in the context of this race, so therefore has to be a live opportunity.
Right – over to you. Enjoy the week!