The base of all of our ratings is the spreadsheet. Every afternoon, we crunch the next day’s data and come up with ratings for every horse in every race in the UK & Ireland.
Here’s a quick video to start you off. I’ll be back just after the video.
Right, that was me talking just there. That video was made ages ago, but it’s still totally valid.
The most important things
So the very first tab is your selections tab. This tells you who the top 3 horses are – but also by how much ahead of the next-rated horse they are.
This is really quite important for understanding form. If a horse is just 0.1% ahead of the 2nd-rated horse, then the difference between the two is minimal. But a 15% rate of difference is huge.
I tend to apply this to the Last Race especially, as the Last Race (LR) is the most important guide to a horse’s form. Obviously, its most recent performance shows you whether it’s in good nick or bad. Its previous races tend to matter less, so those values are depreciated over time.
If you scroll across on your selections tab, you come to some important final selections.
TFS is a strong indicator – it means Top + Form + Suited. If a horse is top-rated overall, with top form and top suitability, then it automatically has at least a 30% chance of winning. If there is at least a 15% gap between top + second in both form and suitability, then it has a 35% chance of winning. Approximately.
And your RTH Selection is the ultimate selection based on all factors we know about. For instance, in a sprint, the speed rating will be given a greater weight in the calculation, while in a race of 2-year-olds, the stallion rating is given more weight.
Getting used to the data
I also made another video about picking winners with spreadsheets and racecards – this is where you get to use both the excel file and the on-site racecards.
It’s a good idea to get used to the data in the spreadsheets before playing with the rest of the site. You’ll understand how the ratings are put together, and what to look for in certain races. You’ll probably find ways of working with the data that you like, and you can add to your knowledge of racing with a level of data that helps you forecast a race better.
If you’ve got any ideas on how to make it even better, do let me know – this whole site has been built on advice from subscribers! And if you’d like to try it out – here’s a free spreadsheet: RTH Ratings 24-1-20.Claim my 14-day free trial