Morning everyone, and it has been a proper busy week so apologies for the lack of previews, normal service will be resumed at least by tomorrow.
Well, then, we have York today, and York is a lot like Chester – not a great hunting ground for raters (unlike, say, Epsom or Perth), so it would be with some trepidation that I would back Sir Ron Priestley at the price of 3/2 in the Y*rks*re Stakes (spits into a corner). However, he has been romping home this season and the others have not – so his rankscore of 8.00 and his consistent form ratings mean he’s very much the horse to beat.
9/1 against Party Island seems long in the 3:25 at Newbury, and he gets a good claimer on board to take 5lb off which puts him where he last was on the turf (more or less). Newbury can often work out quite well from a ratings point of view, largely because it’s wide, flat and boring with very little to get in the way, especially over a mile, and Party Island has place chances with Potenza the most likely win chance in this field, given that form has been unpenalised (although it will be later on).
In the 4:30 at Leopardstown, Twilight Payment is a good option at around 5/2 – he comes here with an unrated race (Melbourne) so that would have bumped his form figures up beyond Search for a Song, who doesn’t get as good a jockey rating and in this case, it might make the difference. The latter did with the St Leger, of course, but that was without our selection who is now running at his preferred 1m6f.
Our stallion ratings have been throwing up some really good high-value place selections this season, but you won’t get much for Gisburn who did well on debut and is the only horse in the 1:50 to have raced at all. That experience should see him do well today, and with a stallion rating of 8+, which is exceptional in any circumstances, he should take advantage of that run at a price of 9/4, potentially shorter. Juveniles out of Kingman should always get on the list – so Kingmax is one to watch on debut with healthy stallion ratings backed up by a top jockey selection. 4/1.
Over to you now.