Morning everyone, and a bit of warm weather means we’re all out in shorts and sandals down at the local Sainsbury’s to get BBQ stuff. Aren’t we Brits unusual.
So I’ve been tasked with finding a donkey. As I’m from Blackpool, I could of course point you in that direction, there’s a few miserable looking donkeys over there, but instead I’m going to chance my arm at finding reasons to lay a horse with low odds. There are three good reasons to lay Voodoo Doll in the 4:00 at Fakenham – from a ratings point of view, at least. A 5lb rise, having fallen last time out, a string of defeats, form ratings half of that of the top-rated horse, a jockey rating that sits in the bottom half of the ratings there… did I say three? I might have found more. Form is your best guide here at Fakenham, with a 26% win rate, and that means Runasimi River who has been in fantastic form. The change of jockey may or may not be instructive.
In the 8:10 at Wolverhampton, Makambe makes sense on a number of ratings – form is adequate, speed is good, and he comes here off a fair enough mark having run well over C&D lately. The price of 13/2 is also quite appealing, and he’s due a win at some point this season. Tonight may be the night, but a quick word for the top jockey/trainer combo Must Be An Angel whose speed rating is sufficient in the context of this race, and whose ratings have progressed quite nicely. A place chance, potentially.
4:30 at Fakenham, and I’d hesitate a little over Drumlee Sunset if only because he’s not been seen for a year. That said, he only ever seems to race once before having a long rest, and I sympathise entirely. It’s hard when you get to our age, but put Drumlee Sunset on good ground, and look at his record – 5 wins from 7 starts. That’s a 71% strike rate. Startling figures, nay? A price of 7/2 would reward you handsomely.
There ain’t much else today so I’d say get out and enjoy the nice weather while you can.